What AI has done in disasters and weather

AI flood forecasts now cover 100 countries where 700 million people live, seven days ahead; California's AI camera network spotted 636 wildfires in 2024 before anyone called 911; and Europe's weather centre runs an AI forecast model operationally.

  1. Europe's weather centre put an AI forecast model into operations, using about 1,000 times less energy per forecast

    Operational 25 February 2025; gains of up to 20%; ~1,000x less energy per forecast

    ECMWF took its Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) into operations on 25 February 2025, running alongside its physics-based model. ECMWF reports gains of up to 20% on measures such as tropical cyclone tracks and roughly 1,000 times less energy per forecast.

    Source: ECMWF's AI forecasts become operational, ECMWF, 2025-02-25. Checked 2026-09-06.

  2. AI river-flood forecasts cover 100 countries where 700 million people live, seven days ahead

    100 countries; 700 million people; 7-day lead time

    Google expanded its AI riverine flood forecasting to 100 countries covering areas where 700 million people live, with the model reaching the same accuracy at seven days as the previous model had at five. The underlying method was published in Nature in 2024.

    Source: How Google helps others with AI flood forecasting, Google, 2024-11-11. Checked 2026-09-06. Also: Global prediction of extreme floods in ungauged watersheds (Nature).

  3. California's AI camera network detected 636 wildfires in 2024 before anyone called 911

    1,668 fires picked up by cameras; 636 (38%) before any 911 call; 1,211 cameras

    CAL FIRE's deputy chief for fire intelligence, Brian York, said that of 7,553 wildfires in CAL FIRE's jurisdiction in 2024, 1,668 were picked up by the ALERTCalifornia AI cameras and 636, or 38%, were detected before any person called 911. The network runs 1,211 cameras on peaks across the state.

    Source: Over 1,000 AI cameras help spot Calif. wildfires before the first 911 call, Gov1 (quoting CAL FIRE), 2025-09-24. Checked 2026-09-06.

Frequently Asked Questions

AI flood forecasts now cover 100 countries where 700 million people live, seven days ahead; California's AI camera network spotted 636 wildfires in 2024 before anyone called 911; and Europe's weather centre runs an AI forecast model operationally.

Each entry links to the primary source it was read from: the journal, agency, or organisation that published the result. The date the source was checked is printed on every entry, and the whole ledger can be downloaded as CSV or JSON from the data page.

Results only. The ledger records things that have already happened and been measured or certified: trial outcomes, regulatory lists, operational systems, published counts. Forecasts about what AI will do are not on this site.